Saturday, 13 July 2024

Stock Market Psychology




Beyond economic fundamentals and market trends, the psychology of investors plays a significant role in shaping their decisions. Understanding these psychological factors is crucial for investors and market regulators to enhance market efficiency and investor protection. Educational initiatives and regulatory interventions are crucial to mitigate these biases, promoting informed and rational investment behaviour. This report explores the effectiveness of various educational and regulatory measures in addressing behavioural biases among retail investors in India.

Factors Influencing Investors

1.  Risk Perception and Aversion:

o   Loss Aversion: Retail investors in India often exhibit a strong aversion to losses. Behavioural studies suggest that losses are psychologically felt more intensely than gains of the same magnitude. This can lead investors to hold onto losing positions longer than they should, hoping for a recovery, which may not materialize.

o   Risk Tolerance: Investors' tolerance for risk varies widely. Younger investors might be more inclined to take risks for potentially higher returns, whereas older investors nearing retirement may prefer safer investments.





2. 
Overconfidence Bias:

o   Many retail investors in India exhibit overconfidence in their investing abilities. This bias can lead them to trade excessively, resulting in higher transaction costs and suboptimal returns. Overconfident investors may also underestimate risks associated with certain investments.

3.  Herding Behaviour:

o   Retail investors often exhibit herding behaviour, especially in response to market movements or tips from peers and media. This behaviour can amplify market volatility and lead to bubbles or panics.

4.  Anchoring and Framing:

o   Investors tend to anchor their decisions to a specific reference point (e.g., purchase price). This can influence their selling decisions, as they may hold onto an investment until it reaches a certain price point, regardless of its current market value.

5.  Availability Bias:

    • Retail investors in India may overweight information that is readily available or recent in their decision-making process. This bias can lead to underestimating the probability of less prominent events or risks.

The psychology of retail investors significantly influences their decision-making process in the Indian capital market. By understanding and addressing these behavioral biases through education and effective regulation, stakeholders can enhance market efficiency, investor protection, and overall market stability. 



Monday, 3 June 2024

Nifty 50, Sensex hit all-time highs. Exit polls 2024

 



Nifty50 record the biggest gain in 3 years, earning 14 lakh crores in a day. Indian equity indices ended on a strong note on June 3 with Nifty around 23,300 after exit poll results predicting a significant win for the BJP-led NDA. Sensex opened 2,622 points higher at 76,583.29 against its previous close of 73,961.31 and closed with a hefty gain of 2,507 points, or 3.39 per cent, at 76,468.78. The Nifty 50 opened 807 points higher at 23,337.90 against its previous close of 22,530.70. The Nifty 50 closed at 23,263.90, up 733 points, or 3.25 per cent.





The Nifty 50 opened 807 points higher at 23,337.90 against its previous close of 22,530.70. It rose 808 points, or 3.6 per cent, to hit its fresh record high of 23,338.70 in early deals. The Nifty 50 closed at 23,263.90, up 733 points, or 3.25 per cent.





The psychological level of 23000 shall act as a key support from a short-term perspective. 
Nearly 300 stocks, including SBI, ICICI Bank, Axis Bank, Bharti Airtel, Larsen and Toubro, Mahindra and Mahindra, NTPC, and Power Grid, hit fresh 52-week highs in intraday trade. 



Kumar Sangakkara playing 3rd Division cricket



 

Sangakkara, who retired from international cricket in 2015, scored 68 off 50 deliveries playing for the Shillingstone CC against Kingston Lacy CC in the third divison Dorset Cricket League in the United Kingdom (UK) this weekend. Sangakkara is one of the most renowned figures in the modern-day game, representing Sri Lanka in 134 Tests, 404 ODIs and 56 T20Is. 





Sangakkara scored 12,400 Test match runs in his international career and is the sixth-highest Test run-scorer ever. H
e captained Sri Lanka to the final of the 2011 World Cup, where they lost to India, and was awarded Player of the Match in the 2014 T20 World Cup final, which Sri Lanka won by six wickets.